China economy – The U.S. debt has surged to $35 trillion, with daily servicing costs exceeding $3 trillion 09-09-2024

China economy

Polymers – U.S. R-PET Market Stability in August 2024 Despite Minor Fluctuations 

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China economy

Crude Oil Prices Trend 

Crude Oil Prices Trend by Polyestertime

Crude Oil Prices Trend by Polyestertime

China’s economic difficulties continue to grow, leading JP Morgan to downgrade its recommendation for Chinese stocks

Citing volatility from upcoming U.S. elections, weak political support, and economic headwinds, the bank downgraded China from “overweight” to “neutral.” JP Morgan joins other firms like UBS and Nomura in reducing expectations for China’s market performance. The CSI 300 index has fallen by 5.6% this year, ranking among the worst performers globally. China economy

Concerns about China’s GDP are increasing, with doubts over reaching the 5% growth target. In August, the manufacturing PMI index dropped to 49.1, marking the fourth consecutive month of contraction. Weak industrial production, low consumption, and a real estate crisis further hinder recovery. China’s GDP growth slowed to 4.7% in the second quarter, down from 5.3%.

Additionally, JP Morgan warned of the risks from another trade war with the U.S. and escalating tariffs, which could further strain China’s economy. Analysts predict China’s long-term growth will decline due to supply chain shifts, ongoing U.S.-China tensions, and internal instability. Recent trade actions, including 100% tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles by Canada, mirror similar moves from the U.S. and the EU, deepening concerns over China’s economic future. China economy

China economy

Indorama and PET recycling

Indorama Ventures Public Co. Ltd., a leading producer and recycler of PET, has announced a joint venture with India’s Varun Beverages Ltd., PepsiCo’s second-largest global bottler, to establish PET recycling facilities in India. The collaboration aims to meet growing demand for recycled PET (rPET) content, supporting sustainability efforts across the region. China economy

Through its subsidiaries, IVL Dhunseri Petrochem Industries Ltd. and Dhunseri Ventures Ltd., Indorama is building two greenfield PET recycling plants, located in Kathua, Jammu & Kashmir, and Khurdha, Odisha. Expected to be operational by next year, the facilities will contribute to a combined annual capacity of 100,000 metric tons of rPET.

Yash Lohia, Chairman of Indorama’s ESG Council, highlighted the partnership’s significance in addressing India’s increasing demand for sustainable packaging. He noted that these facilities will transform post-consumer PET bottles into valuable resources, helping reduce plastic waste.

Varun Jaipuria, Vice-Chairman of Varun Beverages, emphasized the venture’s alignment with the company’s environmental goals and its broader commitment to a circular economy. China economy

The partnership aligns with India’s regulatory push for rPET content and reflects both companies’ commitment to advancing recycling infrastructure. Indorama, the world’s largest PET recycler, has set a target to recycle 750,000 tons of PET annually by 2025, furthering its leadership in sustainable packaging.

Indorama and PET recycling

Plastic to Power: Transforming Trash into World-Changing Hydrogen

Plastic waste is a growing issue in the United States, with projections estimating 220 million tons of plastic waste in 2024—a 7.11% increase from 2021. A significant portion of this waste is mishandled, leading to severe environmental consequences. Only 19.8% of recyclable plastics like PET, HDPE, and PP are actually being recycled, while the rest ends up in landfills, oceans, or incinerated. China economy

This week, on September 5, marks the theoretical “Plastic Overshoot Day,” when plastic waste production exceeds the planet’s ability to manage it. States such as Michigan, Indiana, and Illinois top the list for per capita plastic waste generation, making this a pressing issue in the U.S.

A promising solution to this dilemma is the conversion of plastic waste into hydrogen fuel. This process not only addresses the plastic pollution crisis but also provides a renewable energy source. By breaking down plastic waste through methods like pyrolysis, hydrogen can be extracted and used as a clean energy alternative. This dual benefit of waste reduction and energy generation could revolutionize both environmental management and the renewable energy landscape, potentially transforming trash into a valuable resource to power the world. China economy

Plastic to Power: Transforming Trash into World-Changing Hydrogen

The U.S. debt has surged to $35 trillion, with daily servicing costs exceeding $3 trillion

This issue is often ignored, especially during election years

The Federal Reserve’s upcoming rate cuts might offer temporary relief by lowering borrowing costs for households and businesses, and reducing the government’s debt servicing costs. China economy

However, the core problem remains: the U.S. spends more than it earns, leading to persistent budget deficits since 2002. Rate cuts won’t solve this.

The national debt has ballooned, partly due to the COVID-19 response.

The 10-year Treasury yield hit 5% last October, reflecting investor concerns. The Congressional Budget Office warns that debt held by private investors could rise to 93.7% of GDP within a decade, with total government debt reaching 166% of GDP by 2054. Despite robust demand for new debt, this situation is unsustainable. A loss of investor confidence could trigger a financial crisis. China economy

Historically, deficit spending has helped stabilize the economy during crises, but high levels of deficit spending now raise concerns about future crisis response capabilities. The U.S. risks a scenario similar to the UK’s under Liz Truss if it doesn’t address its debt problem.

Growing debt also risks devaluing the U.S. dollar, prompting investors to seek alternatives like Bitcoin and other currencies.

The urgent need for fiscal reform is clear. Without it, the U.S. faces a potential financial crisis with global repercussions. The $35 trillion debt crisis affects everyone, and immediate action is needed to avoid sinking further. China economy

The U.S. debt has surged to $35 trillion, with daily servicing costs exceeding $3 trillion

Citroniq raises $12M to move forward with bio-based PP plant in US

Lummus Technology and Citroniq plan to build the first of four ‘green PP’ plants in the US state of Nebraska

Mel Badheka, President, Citroniq Chemicals (left) presenting deal trophy to Leon de Bruyn, CEO of Lummus Technology

Citroniq, a Houston-based maker of carbon-negative materials, announced it raised $12 million in series A funding. China economy

The financing was co-funded by Lummus Technology, which last year announced plans to build four bio-based polypropylene (PP) plants in the United States in partnership with Citroniq.

The funding is expected to enable Citroniq to further advance the planning, design, and construction of its first ‘green PP’ plant in the US state of Nebraska.

“Since we announced the partnership between Lummus and Citroniq last year, we have made significant progress toward our shared goals of scaling and commercialising bio-polypropylene production processes,” said Leon de Bruyn, President and Chief Executive Officer, Lummus Technology. “Lummus’ latest investment in Citroniq builds on this progress and strengthens our partnership, working together to lower carbon emissions in the plastics industry.” China economy

The plant will employ the Verdene PP suite of four technologies developed by Lummus: ethanol to ethylene technology, dimer technology, olefins conversion technology and polypropylene technology.

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Citroniq raises $12M to move forward with bio-based PP plant in US

$15.6m funding for Vic soft plastic recycling

More than 43,000 tonnes of soft plastics will be diverted from Victorian landfills every year, thanks to a $15.6 million investment in advanced and innovative recycling technology by the federal and state governments.

Three projects, delivered in partnership with the Victorian Government, have been announced under the new Recycling Modernisation Fund Plastics Technology stream, as governments work together on solutions for hard to recycle plastics, including soft plastics.

Pro-Pac Group in Reservoir received more than $6 million to expand its existing facility for transforming recycled feedstock into soft plastic with recycled content. China economy

It will produce up to 11,000 tonnes of Australian soft plastic packaging each year with 30 per cent recycled content. The project will deliver 14 direct jobs.

Naula in Altona received more than $5 million for advanced sorting and processing of up to 32,000 tonnes of soft and mixed plastics products per year, to refine them to produce new plastics such as food-grade packaging. This will help Australia to develop an advanced recycling supply chain that will turn post-consumer soft plastic waste back into food and other packaging. The project will deliver 61 direct jobs.

Sustainable Plastic Solutions received more than $4 million to install recycling technology to process an additional 8000 tonnes per year of agricultural plastics such as films, grain tarp and baling twine into high quality resins for remanufacturing back into original products. The project will deliver 25 direct jobs. China economy

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$15.6m funding for Vic soft plastic recycling

Bio-based – BASF and ABB are spearheading the use of innovative technologies to enhance circularity and sustainability across the energy and chemicals industries 07-09-2024

China economy

Polymers – U.S. R-PET Market Stability in August 2024 Despite Minor Fluctuations 09-09-2024

Polymers

Polymers

Polyestertime
ITEM 02/09/2024 09/09/2024 +/-
Bottle grade PET chips domestic market 6,650 yuan/ton 6,350 yuan/ton -300
Bottle grade PET chips export market     865 $/ton 855  $/ton -10
LDPE CFR Est China 1,155 $/ton 1,160 $/ton +5
PET Semidull Fiber chips

PET Bright

6,560 yuan/ton

6,630 yuan/ton

6,300 yuan/ton

6,350 yuan/ton

-260

-280

Pure Terephthalic Acid PTA domestic market

Polymers

5,105 yuan/ton 4,995 yuan/ton
-110
Pure Terephthalic Acid PTA FOB China 680 $/ton 645 $/ton -35
Monoethyleneglycol MEG domestic market 4,750 yuan/ton 4,550 yuan/ton
-200
Monoethyleneglycol MEG export market 548 $/ton 538 $/ton -10
Paraxylene PX FOB  Taiwan market 930 $/ton 865 $/ton
-65
Paraxylene PX FOB  Korea market 908 $/ton 843 $/ton -65
Paraxylene PX FOB EU market 1,000 $/ton 1,001 $/ton +1
Polyester filament POY 150D/48F domestic market 7,400  yuan/ton 7,300 yuan/ton
-100
Recycled Polyester filament POY  domestic market 7,150 yuan/ton 7,150 yuan/ton
Polyester filament DTY 150D/48 F domestic market 8,800 yuan/ton 8,750 yuan/ton -50
Polyester filament FDY 68D24F 8,600 yuan/ton 8,500 yuan/ton -100
Polyester filament FDY 150D/96F domestic market

Polymers

7,900 yuan/ton 7,800 yuan/ton -100
Polyester staple fiber 1.4D 38mm domestic market 7,500 yuan/ton 7,450 yuan/ton -50
Caprolactam CPL domestic market 12,670 yuan/ton 12,575 yuan/ton
-95
Caprolactam CPL Northeast Asia

Polymers
1,540 $/ton 1,540 $/ton
Nylon 6 chips overseas  market 1,920 $/ton 1,920 $/ton
Nylon 6 chips conventional spinning domestic  market 13,750 yuan/ton 13,500 yuan/ton -250
Nylon 6 chips  high speed spinning domestic  market 14,400 yuan/ton 14,350 yuan/ton -50
Nylon 6.6 chips domestic  market

Polymers

18,000 yuan/ton 18,000 yuan/ton
Nylon6 Filament POY 86D/24F domestic  market 16,400 yuan/ton 16,300 yuan/ton -100
Nylon6 Filament DTY 70D/24F domestic  market 18,750 yuan/ton 18,700 yuan/ton -50
Nylon6 Filament FDY  70D/24F  17,500 yuan/ton 17,500 yuan/ton
Spandex 20D  domestic  marke 28,800 yuan/ton 28,400 yuan/ton -400
Spandex 30D  domestic  market 28,300 yuan/ton 27,900 yuan/ton  -400
Spandex 40D  domestic  market  25,300 yuan/ton 24,900 yuan/ton -400
Adipic Acid domestic market

Polymers

9,150 yuan/ton 9,050 yuan/ton -100
Benzene domestic market East China 8,625 yuan/ton  8,500 yuan/ton -125
Benzene China CFR 1,039 $/ton 1,039 $/ton
Ethylene South East market 980 $/ton 975 $/ton -5
Ethylene NWE market CIF 922 $/ton  980 $/ton +58
Acrylonitrile ACN  domestic market 8,550 yuan/ton 8,450 yuan/ton -50
Acrylonitrile ACN  overseas market 1,200 $/ton 1,200 $/ton
Acrylic staple fiber ASF CFR China

Polymers

14,600 yuan/ton 14,600 yuan/ton
VSF viscose staple fiber 13,600 yuan/ton 13,650 yuan/ton +50
PP Powder domestic market 7,425 yuan/ton 7,410 yuan/ton -15
Naphtha overseas market  656 $/ton 619 $/ton -37
Phenol domestic market 8,732 yuan/ton 9,000 yuan/ton +268

recycled PET  =                    5,300 yuan/ton  —          5,200  yuan/ton          -100

Polymers

U.S. R-PET Market Stability in August 2024 Despite Minor Fluctuations

As of the end of August 2024, the U.S. Recycled Polyethylene Terephthalate (R-PET) market remained stable, with prices holding firm at USD 1,250 per metric ton (MT) for clear flakes on an FOB (Free on Board) Los Angeles basis. This price stability reflects a balanced interaction between supply and demand that characterized the market throughout the month.

In late July 2024, the R-PET market experienced a modest 1% price increase, moving from USD 1,240 to USD 1,250 per MT. This minor uptick was primarily driven by a temporary surge in demand, particularly from industries such as food packaging and bottling, which have increasingly adopted R-PET due to its environmental benefits. Polymers

Following this brief rise, the market quickly regained equilibrium, with prices remaining unchanged through August, indicating the resilience of the market.

Sustained Demand for R-PET in 2024

Throughout 2024, the U.S. R-PET market has exhibited strong resilience and consistency. Demand for R-PET has been bolstered by industries that prioritize sustainability, particularly in the context of meeting corporate and environmental goals. These industries, especially those in packaging and bottling, have steadily increased their reliance on recycled materials like R-PET to promote eco-friendly production practices.

The consistent use of R-PET across these sectors has been a key factor in maintaining stable prices. Polymers

Furthermore, manufacturers have demonstrated effective management of supply chains and inventory levels. By aligning production with fluctuating demand, they have been able to prevent any significant price swings that could have disrupted market stability. This careful balancing act has enabled the U.S. R-PET market to remain steady despite occasional fluctuations in demand. Polymers

Price Outlook: September to December 2024

Looking ahead, industry analysts from ChemAnalyst forecast continued price stability in the U.S. R-PET market. They expect the price of clear flakes to hover around USD 1,280 per MT through September, with only slight variations. In October, however, the market is expected to experience a more noticeable increase in price, with projections indicating a rise of approximately 2.4%. This forecasted price jump is largely attributed to heightened demand from the packaging industry, which typically experiences a significant uptick in activity as the year-end approaches. Polymers

During this period, manufacturers often ramp up production to meet increased consumer demand, particularly in sectors such as food and beverage packaging that rely heavily on R-PET for sustainable packaging solutions.

Despite the anticipated price increase in October, market conditions may see some adjustments in November and December. These fluctuations, often referred to as seasonal price corrections, are common as consumption patterns shift towards the end of the year. While some minor price declines could occur, they are expected to be temporary. By January 2025, the market is forecast to stabilize once again, with prices leveling out after the seasonal shifts have passed. Polymers

The Importance of R-PET in Sustainability Efforts

The U.S. R-PET market’s ability to maintain overall stability, even in the face of occasional fluctuations, underscores the critical role it plays in both recycling efforts and broader sustainability initiatives.

Polymers

The National Recycling Coalition (NRC) Policy Committee has released a draft policy titled “Chemical Recycling Is Not Recycling” and is inviting feedback

The policy asserts that non-mechanical methods, which convert end-of-life plastics into fuels or feedstocks, do not align with NRC’s recycling definition. The NRC opposes the term “advanced recycling” for these processes, calling it misleading and inaccurate.

The policy also rejects classifying non-mechanical recycling as manufacturing while mechanical recycling is not, and questions the use of non-mechanical methods as a solution for plastic pollution. Polymers

Instead, the NRC supports policies that clearly differentiate between recycling (mechanical or non-mechanical) and solid waste management.

Chemical recycling has been a debated issue, raising concerns about its role in circular economy practices and appropriate regulation. The draft was presented to the NRC board on June 28, which has approved its distribution to state recycling organizations and NRC members for further input.Polymers

The National Recycling Coalition (NRC) Policy Committee has released a draft policy titled “Chemical Recycling Is Not Recycling” and is inviting feedback

Polymers